{"id":4184,"date":"2021-07-05T14:41:36","date_gmt":"2021-07-05T12:41:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ma57.dk\/?p=4184"},"modified":"2022-08-15T14:42:48","modified_gmt":"2022-08-15T12:42:48","slug":"danish-2020-olympics-medal-candidates-no-guarantee-of-success","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ma57.dk\/en\/danish-2020-olympics-medal-candidates-no-guarantee-of-success\/","title":{"rendered":"Danish 2020 Olympics medal candidates \u2013 No guarantee of success"},"content":{"rendered":"

In a few weeks, the Olympic flame will be lit at the \u201cNational Stadium\u201d in Tokyo. Due to the global pandemic, the XXXII Olympic Games will be a very special event, as the vast majority of Japanese want the 2020 Tokyo Olympics either postponed or completely canceled. In addition, no spectators without Japan will have the opportunity to attend the competitions and athletes, coaches and managers will be subject to a wide range of restrictions in relation to their behavior, both inside and outside the Olympic village.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

The 2020 Tokyo Olympics will be held for financial reasons<\/strong><\/p>\n

The 2020 Tokyo Olympics, which were to be held last summer, are being held solely for financial reasons. The Japanese government cannot legally cancel the Games, as the International Olympic Committee (IOC) owns the event, while Tokyo is contractually obliged to host the Games. It is estimated that a cancellation of the 2020 Tokyo Olympics would result in a total loss of $ 17 billion. In addition, the IOC will be able to face unmanageable lawsuits, both from commercial partners and not least TV companies such as NBCUniversial, BBC and Eurosport, which have exclusive rights to live TV broadcasts from the Games. There is also no doubt that the lack of revenue from the IOC in connection with the 2020 Tokyo Olympics would mean that both the majority of international federations and national Olympic committees would be financially insolvent if the Games were canceled.<\/p>\n

Great uncertainty about the individual athletes \u2018and teams\u2019 current sporting level<\/strong><\/p>\n

Also from a sporting perspective, more than one question can be asked about the value of the 2020 Tokyo Olympics. Over the past 18 months, all 33 international federations represented in Tokyo have \u2013 to a greater or lesser extent \u2013 postponed or canceled both World Championships and Continental Championships such as European Championships, World Cups and Olympic qualifiers. In addition, training camps and other preparations that have been changed or canceled have created a lot of uncertainty and frustrations for athletes, coaches and managers. The 2020 Tokyo Olympics will thus be radically different from previous Olympics.<\/p>\n

Very big difference in medal chances in the individual sports<\/strong><\/p>\n

Regardless of these unfair conditions for the athletes in several areas, the 2020 Tokyo Olympics will include 16 intense competition days, where 10,500 athletes from 204 nations compete for medals, honors and glory in 339 disciplines. Denmark has qualified athletes and teams in 16 sports \u2013 exactly the same number as at the 2016 Rio Olympics. Archery, judo and skateboarding, which is a new sport on the Olympic program, have replaced tennis, triathlon and football (men). However, there is a very big difference in the Danish medal chances in the 16 sports. Past World Championship results and continuity at a high international level are crucial for Olympic medal potential. Even for the biggest medal candidates, there is no guarantee of sporting success at the Games. This is partly due to that the Olympics differ markedly from international championships such as the World Championship and the European Championships. The Olympics are only held every four years, the media interest \u2013 especially towards \u201csmaller\u201d sports such as rowing, kayaking and shooting \u2013 are far bigger than usual and all the athletes live together across sports in the Olympic village. For these reasons, it is also extremely rare for Danish athletes or teams to win medals as Olympic debutants. The most important criteria for Olympic medal candidates are, in my opinion, the athletes \u2018and teams\u2019 WC results and especially the continuity of achievements at a high international level within the last 4 years. Athletes and teams that have won WC medals or at least achieved top-8 results at the World Championships, have shown that they can \u201cfight for the medals\u201d. And then analyzes of Olympic results over time show that \u201conly\u201d two medals are realized based on 5 potential medal candidates.<\/p>\n

An official target and an \u201cunofficial\u201d list of candidates<\/strong><\/p>\n

The Sports Confederation of Denmark (DIF) and Team Denmark\u2019s official target at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics are 8-10 medals. But an \u201cunofficial\u201d list has also been prepared with 20-25 athletes and teams who are medal candidates. Through dialogue, DIF, Team Denmark and the federations have agreed in advance which named athletes and teams in their opinion have the greatest chance of medals and thus also prioritized resources differently in relation to all the athletes and teams, both before and during the Games. There are many different reasons why DIF, Team Denmark and the federations fail to publish the \u201cunofficial list\u201d of medal candidates \u2013 and leave it to the media, TV viewers and others\u2019 more or less qualified guesses. But let me name some of the athletes and teams that, in my opinion, have the greatest medal chances in Tokyo.<\/p>\n

The team pursuit and M\u00f8rk\u00f8v\/Hansen as the biggest medal candidates<\/strong><\/p>\n

In my opinion, Denmark has the vast majority and some of the largest in cycling \u2013 and especially in track cycling. The biggest medal candidates are the team pursuit, which at the most recent the UCI World Championship in February 2020 became World Champions and set no less than three world records. The team, which consisted of Lasse Norman Hansen, Julius Johansen, Frederik Rodenberg and Rasmus Pedersen, has also shown great stability at the WC 2018 (silver) and WC 2019 (bronze) since the 2016 Rio Olympics, where the team won bronze. In addition to Denmark, Australia, Great Britain, New Zealand and Italy also have good medal chances. Among the biggest Danish medal candidates in Tokyo are also 36-year-old Michael M\u00f8rk\u00f8v and 29-year-old Lasse Norman Hansen. Both M\u00f8rk\u00f8v (2008) and Hansen (2012 and 2016) have previously won Olympic medals and at the WC 2020 they became the supreme world champions in madison. M\u00f8rk\u00f8v and Hansen\u2019s great routine and technical skills make them, in my opinion \u2026 gold favorites.<\/p>\n

Reigning Olympic and World Champions will always be (big) favorites<\/strong><\/p>\n

As reigning Olympic Champions (2016) and double World Champions (2019 and 2021), the men\u2019s team handball are also among Denmark\u2019s biggest medal candidates. The team has an incredible width and top quality in all positions on the field, both goalkeeper, defense and attack. The Olympic tournament, where as many as 8 out of 12 teams qualify for the quarterfinals after 5 group matches, means that the matches in my opinion only become \u201creally serious\u201d in the quarter finals and forwards. Denmark is (big) favorite for the gold medals, but Spain, France and our Nordic neighbors \u2013 Sweden and Norway \u2013 both can and would very much like to challenge the Danish national team. But I think the mens team handball manage to win at least a medal.<\/p>\n

Two mentally strong girls can win Olympic medals on the water<\/strong><\/p>\n

I also believe in the Danish Olympic medal in sailing, where especially Anne-Marie Rindom (Laser Radial), who has just turned 30, is one of Denmark\u2019s biggest medal candidates. Anne-Marie participates for the 3rd time at the Olympics and she won a bronze medal in 2016. In addition, Anne-Marie has a number of international top results, including World Championship bronze medal (2018) and World Championship gold medal (2019). The latter performance meant i.a. that Rindom in 2019 was named the world\u2019s best sailor across all Olympic boat types by World Sailing \u2013 as the first Dane ever. I believe that Anne-Marie Rindom\u2019s biggest competitors in Tokyo will be the reigning Olympic Champion and 4-time World Champion Marit Bouwmeester from the Netherlands and Emma Plasschart from Belgium, who won World Championship in 2018.<\/p>\n

Kayaker Emma Aastrand J\u00f8rgensen, who won Olympic silver medal in Rio, is also among Denmark\u2019s biggest medal candidates. And she even has, in my opinion, a medal chance in both K1 200 and K1 500. Emma always shows \u2013 like Anne-Marie Rindom \u2013 an incredibly high bottom level and great mental strength \u2013 at international championships. Her biggest competitor for the medals in Tokyo will undoubtedly be Lisa Carrington from New Zealand, who is a double Olympic Champion (2012 and 2016) as well as World Champion in K1 200 at the last 7 World Championships. Also Danuta Koz\u00e1k from Hungary and Volka Khudzenka from Belarus in K1 500 and Marta Walczykiewicz from Poland on K1 200 will in my opinion challenge the 25-year-old J\u00f8rgensen from Maribo.<\/p>\n

The tall native from Funen against one of Japan\u2019s biggest medal candidates<\/strong><\/p>\n

Denmark also has proud Olympic traditions in badminton, most recently with Olympic bronze medal in 2016 to Viktor Axelsen. I also think that Viktor, who became World Champion in 2017, has really good medal chances in Tokyo, i.a. due to a seeding to a semifinal. The biggest favorites for the Olympic medals \u2013 besides Axelsen \u2013 are in my opinion Kento Momota with a very enthusiastic home crowd behind him, Chou Tien Chen from Taiwan and Anthony Ginting from Indonesia. Anders Antonsen (World Championship silver medal 2019), who is also seeded for a semi-final, may surprise the other medal candidates.<\/p>\n

Great chance for the first Olympic medal for the Faroe Islands<\/strong><\/p>\n

Denmark has won medals in rowing at the last 6 Olympic Games. The biggest medal chances in Tokyo must definitely be awarded to Sverri E. Nielsen in singles sculls. The Faroese, which i.a. has won World Championship silver medal in 2019, has had a very marked progress in the last 2-3 years. Among his biggest competitors are the reigning World Champion Oliver Zeidler from Germany and Kjetil Borch from Norway, but the Faroese seem purposeful and highly motivated to win the first ever Olympic medal for the proud kingdom of islands in the middle of the Atlantic.<\/p>\n

The battle for the split seconds and the Olympic medals<\/strong><\/p>\n

The last of the biggest Danish medal candidates is in my opinion the swimmer Pernille Blume, who very surprisingly won Olympic gold nedal in 2016 in the 50 meter freestyle. Blume has also achieved good results after the Olympic triumph in Rio, i.a. 4th places at both the World Championship 2017 and the World Championship 2019. The Olympic final, which swims on Sunday 1\u2019st August, will be decided within a few hundred or maybe thousandths of a second. And among the candidates for the medals are \u2013 in addition to Blume \u2013 Sara Sj\u00f6str\u00f6m from Sweden, who won three Olympic medals in Rio, Ranomi Kromowidjojo from the Netherlands and the two Australians: Emma McKeon and Cate Campell, who have swum in the two fastest times of the year in 50 meters freestyle.<\/p>\n

Denmark wins at least ten medals \u2013 and there will also be surprises<\/strong><\/p>\n

DIF and Team Denmark \u201c\u2026 expect that the 8-10 medals will be won in cycling, handball, sailing, kayaking, badminton, swimming, horseback riding, rowing and shooting\u201d. I believe that Denmark will win at least 10 Olympic medals, but not in more than 7 sports. There will be some of the above athletes and teams who do not come home with medals. And there will certainly also be athletes and teams who (very) surprisingly come home with medals \u2013 maybe even some who are not on the \u201cunofficial\u201d list of potential medal candidates. It is not least these surprises that make the Olympics something completely extraordinary \u2013 also for the athletes.<\/p>\n

You can read more about the 2020 Olympics here:<\/p>\n

https:\/\/olympics.com\/tokyo-2020\/en<\/a><\/p>\n

https:\/\/ol2020.dif.dk<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

In a few weeks, the Olympic flame will be lit at the \u201cNational Stadium\u201d in Tokyo. Due to the global pandemic, the XXXII Olympic Games will be a very special event, as the vast majority of Japanese want the 2020 Tokyo Olympics either postponed or completely canceled. In addition, no spectators without Japan will have … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17],"tags":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDanish 2020 Olympics medal candidates \u2013 No guarantee of success · MA57 Consulting<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ma57.dk\/en\/danish-2020-olympics-medal-candidates-no-guarantee-of-success\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Danish 2020 Olympics medal candidates \u2013 No guarantee of success · MA57 Consulting\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In a few weeks, the Olympic flame will be lit at the \u201cNational Stadium\u201d in Tokyo. 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